Shukurov, Sobir, Mansoor Maitah, and Luboš Smutka. "The Impact of Privatization on Economic Growth: The Case of Uzbekistan". International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Vol. 6, No. 3 (2016): 948-957.
- From the beginning of independence from the USSR, it was recognized that traditional privatization through public sale would be difficult to carry out in the context of a socialist society without large private savings or developed capital markets (948).
- Uzbekistan therefore had to adopt other methods of privatization, such as the sale of firms for essentially nothing or the transfer of ownership to factory managers and/or employees (948).
- Part of the difficulty was attitudinal. Uzbekistanis viewed themselves as dependent on the state, even when in private business, and it has taken a long time for an entrepreneurial mindset to establish itself (954).
- In Eastern Europe, Kazakhstan, and Russia, privatization of state enterprises was performed on the basis of a division of a company into stocks and the distribution of those stocks among employees or the general population (951-952).
- This method of privatization was not adopted in Uzbekistan because it was felt that it would not result in the transfer of state enterprises to the persons who would manage them the best or who had the most interest in the success of the firms (952).
- Uzbekistan's privatization tried to privilege groups with the strongest social connection to the property/organization being privatized, such as trade union members at a particular factory or collective farms for the purchase of state-owned sovxoz farms (952-953).
- Privatization in Uzbekistan has lagged behind the economies of Eastern Europe (948).
- There is a (very poorly done) literature review covering other papers on the impact of privatization on economic growth on page 949.
- The mathematical models used to calculate real aggregate demand, real aggregate supply, and the impact of privatization are explained on page 950.
- The actual calculation of some of the variables here is poorly explained and some variables, like "capital market development level", depend heavily on the subjective impressions of the authors. Still, even if unrefined, the variables used to determine the level of privatization will likely give a good general sense of the scale of privatization in that economy.
- The growth of the private sector in Uzbekistan came about through the
transfer of state property into private hands and the establishment of
new private businesses (951).
- Private property, as distinct from personal property, was legalized in Uzbekistan in 1990. The value of protecting private property was recognized in Uzbekistan's first constitution and enshrined in law (950-951).
- Legal protections for private property did not, however, provide the infrastructure for establishing businesses (950).
- In 1991, Uzbekistan passed regulations on property and on privatization and denationalization, which provided the legal basis for private property. In 1996, another major change was made by the creation of a Civil Code, which established a new field of law governing private property (951).
- Since 1996, more than 200 additional laws have been passed governing private property, including stock markets, joint-stock companies, and shareholders (951).
- The privatization process in Uzbekistan was guided by a set of principles laid out by President Islom Karimov: economic transformations should serve the interests of the majority not sectional interests, the privatization process should be directed by the state, no form of ownership (public or private) should have an unfair advantage in the market, economic regulation should be developed based on Uzbekistan's particular needs and conditions, the privatization process should be gradual, high wealth inequality or the lost of protections for social vulnerable groups are not acceptable outcomes of privatization (951).
- In this vein, privatized firms retained some obligations to their employees, such as prohibiting certain disruptive changes in productive or the firing of pregnant women, the elderly, or invalids (952).
- The commitment of the Karimov to maintain a socially-oriented economy in which people are protected from certain market pressures has led the government to back away and even reverse some privatization, making it particularly reluctant to privatize large state-owned enterprises (956).
- Uzbekistan also sought to break up large monopolies during its privatization process. Instead of privatizing a monopolistic state firm, said firm would be broken up along sectoral and/or geographic lines and then the component parts privatized (952).
- Revenue generated from privatization was not placed back into the budget -- as was the case in most post-Soviet countries -- but instead transferred to a special capital fund from which newly-privatized firms could borrow or receive grants in the absence of a developed credit market (952).
- Privatization in Uzbekistan can be divided into three phases:
- The first phase was from 1991 to 1993. This saw the privatization of the State Housing Fund, under which ownership of 5 million housing units was transferred to their occupants; and the privatization of vehicles. Some small businesses were also privatized in commerce, services, light industries, food processing factories, construction firms, and construction materials factories. New legal structures were created for these new small industries. This is also when rural farmland was privatized (952-953).
- Abuse of the privatization process was common during this initial period. Many new owners received property at far below market value and immediately sold it at market value for a large profit. Despite this usually being illegal and in contravention of the terms of the initial privatization, this practice was widespread (954).
- The second phase, from 1994 to 1998, saw the partial privatization of larger businesses by transforming state-owned companies into joint stock companies. Some industries were excluded from this privatization. The sale of stock in joint stock companies also created the beginnings of a securities market in Uzbekistan (953).
- In some cases, especially when the new owners did a poor job running the business, the government had to partially reverse the privatization, repurchasing shares in joint stock companies or issuing additional shares to regain majority control (953-954).
- The transformation of public companies into joint stock companies came with unexpected organizational costs, as these companies had to dedicate staff members to complying with the transparency and reporting requirements demanded of joint stock companies. Many were ill prepared for this task, misallocated resources, and suffered setbacks following their transformation into joint stock companies (954).
- The third phase, from 1998 onward, has been characterized by gradual privatization of additional large enterprises, particularly those where it is hoped that foreign capital can be attracted to assist in modernization (953).
- Privatization in Uzbekistan has led to a rising share of private enterprise in the national GDP, from around 50% in 1995 to over 80% in 2010 (953).
- Uzbekistan's emphasis on transferring private ownership to groups linked to the company, like employees and managers, was not successful in producing well-run private firms. Many employee-owners and manager-owners were ineffective and some stripped and sold the companies for parts (953).
- Corruption and misuse of corporate resources was common. In particular, managers and heads of trade unions used company assets for their own personal enrichment (953).
- In 2001 and 2002, the State Property Committee determined to reduce the share of stock held by trade union members, who were viewed as not being effective managers, to 10% of what it had been prior to 2001. This repossessed stock was then sold in an attempt to attract other investors, especially foreign investors (954).
- Although the intent was to improve corporate governance, this move, and similar ones undertaken during the late 1990s, reduced investor confidence in the security of stock ownership in Uzbekistan. After a repossession of trade union stocks in 1998, private investors sold their shares, dropping from 25-30% of stockholders to 5-10% of stockholders (954).
- Based on the experience of Uzbekistan, the authors recommend that large state-owned companies should be transformed into large companies or corporate structures with multiple subsidiaries, not joint stock companies, whereas middle-sized companies should be transformed into limited liability companies (954).
- An application of the formula to Uzbekistan shows that privatization is positively correlated with economic growth, as was investment in human capital through training, education, etc., and the development of a stock market (955).
- Looking at the actual variables used to make this determination and the lack of any attempt to look at other confounding variables impacting GDP growth during the period, these results need to be viewed skeptically. The overall trend of privatization being correlated with positive GDP should hold up, but I would not trust any conclusions about the impact of individual components of that growth.
Most of the valuable observations in this paper come from the author Sobir Shukurov's personal experience working for the State Committee for Privatization, Demonopolization, and the Development of Competition (Xususiylashtirish, Monopoliyadan Chiqarish, va
Raqobatni Rivojlantirish Davlat Qo’mitasi) during the 1990s. The actual economics work here is pretty bad.